The shares of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), one of the oldest and most trusted stock exchanges in Asia, have witnessed a sharp fall recently. From a 52-week high of ₹3030 on June 10, 2025, the stock has now declined by over ₹600 a drop of more than 20%.
But what's causing this sudden fall?
Is the SEBI ban on Jane Street solely responsible? Or is there more to
this story?
Let’s explore the reasons behind the
BSE share price fall, analyze expert views, and understand whether it's
time to buy, sell or hold BSE stock in 2025.
BSE Share Price Movement – July 8, 2025
BSE shares opened flat at ₹2640 on
July 8, 2025, slightly above the previous day’s close of ₹2636.20. However, the
stock soon faced massive selling pressure, hitting an intraday low of
₹2395 down over 9%.
As of 12:30 PM, BSE shares were
trading 7% lower at ₹2453, with over 1.17 crore shares changing hands,
signaling heavy investor activity.
BSE Share Price Trend (June–July 2025)
| 📅 Date | 📈 Closing Price (₹) | 📉 % Change |
|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2025 | ₹3030 | — |
| July 1, 2025 | ₹2685 | -11.38% |
| July 8, 2025 | ₹2395 (Low) | -20.96% from 52W high |
Note: BSE shares
are still trading above 100-day and 200-day moving averages but are
below their short-term 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day averages — suggesting
short-term weakness but long-term strength.
Why Is BSE Share Falling Today? Let’s Break It Down
1. SEBI Ban on Jane Street
SEBI recently banned New
York-based global trading firm Jane Street for allegedly manipulating
Indian stock indices through derivatives. As Jane Street was one of the most
active market participants in the Indian derivatives market, its exit caused nervousness
among traders and investors.
Impact: Traders
fear reduced volumes and liquidity on exchanges like BSE in the near future.
2. SEBI Study on F&O Losses in FY2025
SEBI released a study that showed a massive
91% of retail traders in the Futures & Options (F&O) segment incurred
losses in FY2025, with net losses rising to ₹1.05 lakh crore up 41% from
₹74,812 crore in FY2024.
Impact: Negative
sentiment toward exchanges like BSE which heavily rely on trading volumes for
income.
3. Technical Patterns: Head and Shoulders
According to Chandan Taparia of
Motilal Oswal, BSE's price chart has been forming a head and shoulders
pattern a bearish technical indicator. This could explain why the fall
might continue in the short term.
“Short-term trend is weak, but
long-term trend remains positive. Support lies near ₹2450,” said Taparia.
4. Profit Booking After Strong Rally
BSE shares delivered over 211%
return in the last one year and more than 35% YTD return in 2025.
Such a strong rally often invites profit booking, especially after
negative news triggers.
The stock has also
slipped below the 50-day moving average, adding to short-term bearishness.
Expert Opinion: What Should Investors Do?
Let’s summarize the views from top
market experts:
| 👨💼 Expert | 📊 View | 💡 Recommendation |
|---|---|---|
| Chandan Taparia (Motilal Oswal) | Short-term bearish | Accumulate near ₹2450, long-term bullish |
| Kiran Jani (Jainam Broking) | Short-term cautious | Book profit short term, hold for long term |
| Market Analysts | Weak short-term trend | Watch ₹2450 level for support |
Consensus:
Investors should accumulate BSE shares gradually on dips, especially
near ₹2450. Long-term fundamentals remain intact.
Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold BSE Shares in 2025?
BUY, If:
- You have a long-term investment horizon (2–5 years).
- You believe in India’s financial market growth.
- You want to accumulate quality stocks after
corrections.
SELL, If:
- You entered only for short-term gains.
- You are risk-averse and cannot handle short-term
volatility.
HOLD, If:
- You’re a long-term investor and already own BSE
shares.
- You’re confident in BSE’s strong business model
and trust SEBI's market reforms.
BSE Stock Performance: The Bigger Picture
| ⏳ Timeframe | 📈 Return (%) |
|---|---|
| 1 Week | -10% |
| 1 Month | -15.8% |
| 1 Year | +211% |
| YTD (2025) | +35% |
Even after the recent correction, BSE
remains a multibagger stock and has delivered consistent returns. The
current fall might just be a breather.
Why Long-Term Outlook on BSE Is Still Positive
- Strong financials and cash flow.
- Monopoly business with high operating margins.
- Increasing retail participation in stock markets.
- India’s financialization story continues to grow.
- Regulatory reforms are stabilizing the derivatives
market.
| 🔮 Scenario | 🎯 Price Target (2025–2026) |
|---|---|
| Bullish | ₹3200–₹3500 |
| Base Case | ₹2700–₹2900 |
| Bearish (Short-Term) | ₹2350–₹2450 |
Final Takeaway: Should You Panic?
No. While the recent fall in BSE
share price may look steep, the core business of BSE is not impacted
fundamentally. The fall is more of a reaction to external events (Jane
Street ban, SEBI study) and technical corrections.
Smart investors may use this fall as a buying opportunity in a fundamentally
strong company like BSE.
FAQs on BSE Share Price Fall
Q1.
Why is BSE share price falling today?
The fall is due to SEBI’s ban on
Jane Street, negative sentiment from SEBI’s report on F&O losses, and
technical correction after a strong rally.
Q2.
Is it a good time to buy BSE shares?
Yes, if you're a long-term investor.
Experts suggest accumulating on dips near ₹2450.
Q3.
Should I sell BSE shares now?
Only if you’re a short-term trader
or uncomfortable with volatility. Long-term investors should hold or buy more
gradually.
Q4.
What is the long-term view on BSE shares?
Positive. BSE is a strong company
with monopoly advantages. Analysts expect further upside over 1–2 years.
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