Coforge Share Price Falls 5% Despite Strong Q1 FY26 Results; Analysts Still Bullish Amid Deal Drop

 

Coforge share price after Q1 FY26 results

Coforge Share Price After Q1 FY26 Results: Despite Solid Growth, Stock Falls 5%

Coforge, the midcap IT company, saw its shares tumble over 5% on July 24, 2025, despite reporting a strong performance in its Q1 FY26 results. The stock dropped to ₹1,743 in early morning trade, catching investors by surprise. At the same time, global brokerage Morgan Stanley maintained its Overweight rating and expressed long-term confidence in the company.

Let’s dive deeper into what happened, what the numbers say, and why this high-performing IT stock still fell on a strong earnings day.


Key Highlights of Coforge Q1 FY26 Earnings

Coforge managed to outperform its larger rivals in the IT space by reporting 8% revenue growth in constant currency (CC) terms for the April–June quarter. This was much stronger than Persistent Systems’ 3.3% and LTIMindtree’s 0.8% CC growth for the same quarter.

🧾 Metric 📊 Value
Revenue (₹) ₹3,687 crore (↑8.6% QoQ)
Revenue Growth (CC) 8%
EBITDA Margin 17.5% (↑60 bps QoQ)
EBIT Margin 13.2% (flat QoQ)
New Deal Wins $507 million
Order Book (12-month) $1.54 billion (↑3% QoQ, ↑44% YoY)
Travel & Hospitality Growth ↑31% QoQ
BFSI Growth ↓1.1% (Banking), ↑1% (Insurance)

Despite these strong numbers, the stock market didn’t react positively and there are some understandable reasons behind the drop.


Coforge Stock Tanks 5%: Why Did This Happen?

At around 9:45 AM, Coforge shares were trading at ₹1,747, a 5.5% drop from the previous close on the NSE. This decline stood in contrast to the company’s strong quarterly growth and high margin performance.

So why did the stock fall?

1. Sharp Drop in Deal Wins

Coforge won deals worth $507 million this quarter, down significantly from $2.1 billion in Q4 FY25. While the previous quarter’s number was inflated by the one-off Sabre mega deal, the sharp drop in comparison likely raised some eyebrows among investors.

2. BFSI Segment Weakness

The banking and financial services (BFS) vertical a major revenue contributor for most IT companies saw a 1.1% decline this quarter. The insurance segment grew modestly by 1% in US dollar terms, indicating muted demand.

3. Profit Booking

Coforge stock had already rallied over 23% in the past three months. This rally may have encouraged short-term investors to book profits after the earnings report, despite the positive outlook.


Travel and Hospitality Drive Growth

The big winner for Coforge this quarter was its travel, transportation, and hospitality (TTH) vertical, which saw a massive 31% sequential growth. This was primarily driven by the ramp-up of the $1.6 billion Sabre contract signed earlier.

This strong momentum helped offset the weakness in BFSI and contributed significantly to the overall revenue growth.


Margin and Profitability Performance

Coforge has also shown solid improvement in profitability. The company’s EBITDA margin rose by 60 basis points (bps) to 17.5%, while EBIT margin remained steady at 13.2%.

These numbers suggest that Coforge is not only growing but also maintaining cost discipline and managing operations efficiently—key indicators for long-term investors.


Order Book Growth: Bright Spot in Q1

Though deal wins were lower than the previous quarter, the company’s executable order book for the next 12 months rose to $1.54 billion. That’s an increase of:

·         3% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)

·         44% year-on-year (YoY)

This shows that the pipeline of work remains strong, and the company has enough visibility on revenues going forward.


Coforge vs Peers – How It Stacks Up

🏢 Company 📈 CC Revenue Growth (Q1 FY26)
Coforge 8%
Persistent Systems 3.3%
LTIMindtree 0.8%

Coforge clearly outperformed its peers in terms of top-line growth, highlighting its strong execution and client delivery.


Investor Takeaway: Should You Worry?

The sharp drop in share price may look alarming, but here’s what long-term investors should focus on:

Strong travel and hospitality growth
Healthy margin improvement
Robust executable order book
Outperformance vs. industry peers

The weakness in BFSI and lower deal wins are concerns, but they seem more cyclical than structural. With big deals like Sabre still in the pipeline, Coforge’s medium- to long-term outlook remains solid.


Stock Performance Snapshot

Metric Value
Current Price ₹1,747
Intraday Fall -5.5%
3-Month Return +23%
1-Year Return +42% (Approx.)
Analyst Rating Overweight
Target Price ₹1,880 (Morgan Stanley)

Conclusion

Coforge’s Q1 FY26 results tell a story of resilience and strength, even in a challenging global IT environment. The drop in share price appears temporary, and largely driven by deal base effects and short-term market behavior.

If you’re a long-term investor, these results show underlying strength in operations, deal execution, and client relationships with ample room for recovery and upside.


Disclaimer:

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. The views expressed are not investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Also Read 

© 2025 FlipTheLoss.in. All rights reserved.