Axis Bank Share Falls: Should Investors Worry or Buy the Dip?

axis bank share price

The Axis Bank share price dipped 2.54% today, slipping below the ₹1,170 mark despite reporting a solid net income of ₹280.6 billion for FY2025. This decline has raised eyebrows among investors and traders alike, sparking a debate: Is this a temporary dip or a strategic buying opportunity?

Let’s explore what this price movement means, what’s driving it, and whether now is the right time to consider adding Axis Bank to your investment portfolio.


Axis Bank Share Price Today: Volatility Grips the Market

As of 11:49 AM on July 1, 2025, Axis Bank share price was trading at ₹1,168.70, marking an intraday loss of 2.54% from the previous close of ₹1,199.20. Interestingly, the day started strong with an opening price of ₹1,202.00. But despite an initial upward push, the stock hit an intraday low of ₹1,167.00.

This movement suggests investors are uncertain amid broader market volatility, likely reacting to mixed economic signals and sectoral shifts.


Technical Overview: Caution in the Air

Axis Bank’s trading volume for the day so far stood at 4.07 million shares, which is significantly below the 20-day average of 7.5 million shares. This shows that traders are taking a cautious approach.

  • Total Traded Value: ₹47,614.79 lakhs (₹476 crore approx)
  • Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): ₹1,179.60
  • Support Level (S2): ₹1,166.53
  • Resistance Levels:
    • R1: ₹1,225.77
    • R2: ₹1,252.33
    • R3: ₹1,268.67

The current price is just above the critical support level of ₹1,166.53. A break below this could invite more selling pressure.

Circuit limits for the day:

  • Lower Circuit: ₹1,079.30
  • Upper Circuit: ₹1,319.10

So far, the share remains within a safe range, but volatility could test these boundaries.


Axis Bank Financial Snapshot FY2025: Strong Performance, Lingering Concerns

Axis Bank reported a robust net income of ₹280.6 billion, a 6.3% YoY growth, along with a healthy earnings per share (EPS) of ₹90.72. Full-year revenue stood at ₹684.9 billion, growing by 8% year-over-year.

Other key financials:

  • Market Cap: ₹362,342 crore
  • Book Value Per Share: ₹552.70
  • P/B Ratio: 2.12
  • TTM EPS: ₹90.47
  • P/E Ratio: 12.91 (vs sector average of 20.64)

These numbers indicate that Axis Bank is fundamentally strong and even undervalued compared to its peers, making it attractive for value investors.


Dividend Update: Modest but Steady

Axis Bank has declared a final dividend of ₹1 per share for FY2025. The ex-dividend date is July 4, 2025. While the yield may not be impressive, the bank’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders even during cautious economic periods is a positive sign.


Weak Loan and Deposit Growth: A Cause for Concern?

Despite solid earnings, Axis Bank’s loan and deposit growth lag behind industry standards:

  • Loan Growth:
    • 2.6% QoQ
    • 7.8% YoY
  • Deposit Growth:
    • 7% QoQ
    • 10% YoY

The retail loan book slippages are also a concern, accounting for nearly 90% of total slippages. This has triggered some caution among institutional investors who are closely watching the bank’s asset quality metrics.


Sectoral Shifts and RBI’s Impact

Recently, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) slashed the repo rate to 5.5%, prompting banks including Axis to lower fixed deposit interest rates. Additionally, ATM withdrawal charges increased to ₹23 per transaction (starting July 1), adding to the cost burden for customers.

These regulatory changes could impact margins and customer behavior, especially in the short term.


Options Data Reflects Market Hesitancy

Derivatives data for Axis Bank also suggest caution. There has been a rise in put option contracts at the ₹1,180 strike, a bearish indicator that investors are hedging against potential downside risks.


Analyst Ratings: Still Bullish Despite the Dip

According to the latest data from brokerage houses:

  • 63% analysts recommend a “Buy”
  • 21% suggest “Outperform”
  • 16% recommend “Hold”
  • 0% say “Sell” or “Underperform”

While analysts remain largely bullish, some short-term technical indicators have triggered sell signals, especially with the price now hovering near support levels.


What Does This Mean for Investors?

Axis Bank share price falling below ₹1,170 might feel like a setback to some. But for long-term investors, this could be a strategic entry point. Here's why:

Positives:

  • Strong FY25 results
  • Robust market capitalization
  • Consistent dividend
  • Undervalued on P/E basis
  • Bullish analyst sentiment

Watchouts:

  • Sluggish loan/deposit growth
  • Elevated retail slippages
  • Weak trading volumes
  • Sector-wide pressure post RBI rate cut

If you’re an investor with a long-term horizon, this dip might be the ideal moment to accumulate Axis Bank shares at a discount. However, those with short-term goals should wait for signs of stabilization or reversal before entering.


Short-Term Outlook vs Long-Term Potential

Factor Short-Term Outlook Long-Term Potential
Share Price Trend Volatile, Near Support Levels Possible Upside from Recovery
Trading Volume Below Average Likely to Improve Post-Q2
Analyst Ratings Mixed Signals Strong Buy Consensus
Sectoral Tailwinds Uncertain Favourable as economy strengthens
Financial Fundamentals Stable Solid Base for Growth

Conclusion: Is It the Right Time to Buy?

The Axis Bank share price drop below ₹1,170 may seem concerning at first glance, but digging deeper reveals a much more nuanced picture. With solid financials, a fair valuation, and a largely positive outlook from market experts, the dip could present an excellent buy-on-dip opportunity for savvy investors.

Still, asset quality concerns and slower growth in core banking areas must be kept in mind. Whether you’re a cautious trader or a long-term investor, Axis Bank is a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks.

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